“Free Falling” – Vista Partners Daily Market Recap 12/4/2018
After a strong showing yesterday, the market was in a free fall on Tuesday as stocks went crashing. The S&P 500 shed 3.24% during today’s session while the Nasdaq plummeted 3.80%. The Dow plunged 3.10% as the market closed.
Individual components of the Dow were down across the board, with every single company ending the day in the red. Caterpillar (CAT) led declines with a loss of 6.93%. Other companies seeing heavy losses include Boeing (BA), with a drop of 4.85%, and Intel (INTC), which sank 4.75%.
Outside the Dow, Atossa Genetics (ATOS) didn’t fare much better. It dropped 2.90% during today’s session after impressive gains yesterday.
On the other side of the coin a bet, trade on investment in the VelocityShares Daily 2x VIX ST ETN (TVIX), a “bet against the broad markets,” paid off handsomely today as it closed at $44.47 up +25.13% on the day! Thank you triggered algorythmic trades!
Two major factors are being blamed for today’s sudden downturn. The first was yesterday’s inversion of the 3-year and 5-year notes, a warning sign pointing to a possible recession. This was the first inversion since 2007 and served to spook already wary investors.
The second factor was the contradictions from the White House on the exact nature of the trade deal with China that President Trump had touted this weekend. These differing reports led many to believe that the deal may not be as solid as the president had made it seem. Basically fear crept back into the markets prior to tomorrow’s closure of the markets in honor of George H. W. Bush.
Jim Tierney, with Alliance Bernstein sees a very bleak future as quite possible if Trump isn’t able to assure investor’s that the trade tensions are under control. “If we have a trade problem, I think that risks bringing a number of developing economies to the brink of recession. It also puts a huge tax of U.S. consumers, and the combination of those two means a pretty meaningful global slowdown, which would indicate that right now the yield curve is correct in terms of where we’re going,” Tierney noted.
One might also point to the selloff being due in part to the unsettling nature of a Wednesday market closing with all outstanding aforementioned issues directly related to the US unresolved and the worldwide issue of the Brexit situation. The fear surrounding the market was too much for many to handle…understandably so.
Tomorrow will provide a break from today’s turmoil as the market is closing in honor of deceased President George H.W. Bush’s funeral. Rest in peace President Bush.
Vista Partners LLC (”Vista”) is a California Registered Investment Advisor based in San Francisco. Vista delivers timely and relevant insights via the website: www.vistapglobal.com with daily stories, weekly market updates, monthly macroeconomic newsletters, podcasts, & Vista’s proprietary equity and market research to help you stay informed and stay competitive. Vista’s mission is to invest partner capital while arming investors with a comprehensive global financial perspective across all market sectors. Vista also seeks to provide select issuers with actionable advice regarding fundamental development, corporate governance, and capital market directives.
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